Buffalo Sabres at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-03-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 8 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.3%
BUF: 38.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.94
BUF: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 16-9-2 | 0.883 SV% | 3.39 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 19-8-3 | 0.912 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | EDM | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.817 | 0.909 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs BUF: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | EDM 3 - 4 BUF | BUF | EDM |
| 2025-11-17 | BUF 5 - 1 EDM | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-10 | BUF 3 - 2 EDM | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-01-25 | EDM 3 - 2 BUF | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-21 | EDM 8 - 3 BUF | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 16:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 18:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 04:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:56 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:38 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 15:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 16:58 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 8 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.9 - 3.0