Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-03-22 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WSH: 50.8%

CAR: 49.2%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.84

CAR: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	8	0	0.38
1	CAR	14	1	0.81
2	WSH	14	1	1.20
2	CAR	21	0	0.82
3	WSH	16	4	1.72
3	CAR	12	0	0.79
4	WSH	3	0	0.15
4	CAR	3	0	0.35
5	WSH	5	1	1.17
5	CAR	5	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3