Pittsburgh Penguins at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-22 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 63.2%
PIT: 36.8%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.42
PIT: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DAL at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | DAL 3 - 2 PIT | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-05 | DAL 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | DAL |
| 2024-11-11 | PIT 1 - 7 DAL | DAL | PIT |
| 2024-03-22 | DAL 4 - 2 PIT | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-10-24 | PIT 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:45 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:09 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:03 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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