Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 46.9%

WPG: 53.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.96

WPG: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NYI
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	23	1	1.23
1	WPG	11	0	0.45
2	NYI	24	1	1.43
2	WPG	22	2	1.30
3	NYI	3	0	0.34
3	WPG	29	0	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5