Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-03-23 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 60.1%
BOS: 39.9%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.43
BOS: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | PHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • PHI at home vs BOS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-10-29 | BOS 0 - 2 PHI | PHI | BOS |
| 2024-03-23 | PHI 3 - 2 BOS | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:15 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:19 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:16 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:12 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:31 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9