Edmonton Oilers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

TOR: 59.9%

EDM: 40.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.57

EDM: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	EDM 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	EDM
2025-12-13	TOR 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	TOR
2025-02-01	EDM 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	EDM
2024-11-16	TOR 4 - 3 EDM	TOR	TOR
2024-03-23	TOR 6 - 3 EDM	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:17	TOR	Goal
1	18:14	TOR	Goal
2	08:02	TOR	Goal
2	11:04	TOR	Goal
2	15:46	TOR	Goal
3	04:59	TOR	Goal
3	08:32	TOR	Goal
3	16:21	TOR	Goal
3	19:47	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9