Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-23 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 58.2%
FLA: 41.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.28
FLA: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | NYR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.973 | 0.789 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • NYR at home vs FLA: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | FLA 1 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2025-04-14 | FLA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2024-12-30 | FLA 5 - 3 NYR | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-24 | NYR 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | NYR |
| 2024-06-01 | FLA 2 - 1 NYR | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:22 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:52 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:35 | NYR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0