Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-03-23 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.2%
CHI: 44.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.98
CHI: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.600 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • SJS at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | CHI 6 - 3 SJS | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-13 | SJS 4 - 2 CHI | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-10-31 | SJS 3 - 2 CHI | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-10-17 | CHI 4 - 2 SJS | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-03-23 | SJS 4 - 5 CHI | CHI | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:53 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 00:16 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:24 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:45 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 13:20 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:20 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:13 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 00:18 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2