New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 56.9%
NJD: 43.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.88
NJD: 3.55
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NJD 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2026-01-06 | NYI 9 - 0 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-23 | NYI 2 - 1 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-10 | NJD 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2025-04-13 | NJD 0 - 1 NYI | NYI | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 02:57 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:12 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:53 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 3.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.