New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 58.1%
NJD: 41.9%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.14
NJD: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NJD 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2026-01-06 | NYI 9 - 0 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-23 | NYI 2 - 1 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-10 | NJD 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2025-04-13 | NJD 0 - 1 NYI | NYI | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 02:57 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:12 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:53 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4