Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 59.3%

FLA: 40.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.11

FLA: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs FLA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.83
1	FLA	7	0	0.66
2	PHI	16	1	0.92
2	FLA	10	1	1.20
3	PHI	24	0	1.29
3	FLA	5	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7