Dallas Stars at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-03-24 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 53.6%
DAL: 46.4%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.87
DAL: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs DAL: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-24 | ARI 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | ARI |
| 2024-03-20 | DAL 5 - 2 ARI | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-14 | DAL 4 - 3 ARI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:21 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:44 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:26 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3