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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 55.1%
TBL: 44.9%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.07
TBL: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs TBL: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-31ANA 3 - 4 TBLTBLANA
2025-10-25TBL 4 - 3 ANATBLTBL
2025-01-16TBL 4 - 3 ANATBLTBL
2025-01-05ANA 4 - 1 TBLANAANA
2024-03-24ANA 2 - 3 TBLTBLANA

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
113:49ANAGoal
207:50ANAGoal
217:00TBLGoal
302:36ANAGoal
400:59TBLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3