Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 55.3%

MTL: 44.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.56

MTL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	19	0.97
1	MTL	11	0.49
2	SEA	22	0.98
2	MTL	11	0.61
3	SEA	14	1.02
3	MTL	4	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1