Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-03-25 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 58.3%
LAK: 41.7%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.97
LAK: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 8-23-5 | 0.876 SV% | 3.62 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 17-13-12 | 0.897 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | VAN | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.902 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | — |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • VAN at home vs LAK: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | LAK 2 - 1 VAN | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-02-26 | LAK 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | LAK |
| 2025-01-16 | VAN 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-07 | LAK 2 - 4 VAN | VAN | LAK |
| 2024-04-06 | LAK 6 - 3 VAN | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:01 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 12:50 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 16:29 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 18:20 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:07 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.