Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-03-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 54.6%
BOS: 45.4%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.86
BOS: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 26-20-1 | 0.878 SV% | 3.02 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 28-15-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | FLA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.932 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.883 | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs BOS: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
| 2024-10-14 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:27 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:43 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:56 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:59 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:53 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:39 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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