Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-26 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 61.5%
PHI: 38.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.62
PHI: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | NYR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | NYR | ||
| 2026-01-17 | PHI 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2025-12-20 | NYR 5 - 4 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-09 | NYR 5 - 8 PHI | PHI | NYR |
| 2025-01-23 | NYR 6 - 1 PHI | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:58 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:39 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:34 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:59 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:29 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:36 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8