Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-03-26 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 56.7%
CAR: 43.3%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.30
CAR: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 20-14-9 | 0.889 SV% | 2.88 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 26-6-1 | 0.895 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | — |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | PIT 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-18 | CAR 6 - 5 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-10 | CAR 5 - 4 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 11:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:09 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:04 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:37 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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