New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 57.4%

NJD: 42.6%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.65

NJD: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-13-6 | 0.905 SV% | 3.16 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 21-16-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.10 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	NJD 4 - 3 TOR	NJD	NJD
2025-12-30	TOR 4 - 0 NJD	TOR	TOR
2025-10-21	TOR 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	TOR
2025-01-16	TOR 4 - 3 NJD	TOR	TOR
2024-12-10	NJD 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NJD

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	01:04	TOR	Goal
1	04:25	TOR	Goal
1	17:56	NJD	Goal
2	03:14	TOR	Goal
2	04:51	TOR	Goal
2	05:35	TOR	Goal
2	13:05	NJD	Goal
3	16:47	NJD	Goal
3	18:51	NJD	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9