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2025-26 Season Live

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
WPG: 53.2%
EDM: 46.8%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.53
EDM: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 18-19-11 | 0.898 SV% | 2.81 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 17-9-2 | 0.883 SV% | 3.34 GAA
StatWPGEDM
Season SV%0.9070.906
Last 5 SV%0.8910.823
SV% vs Opponent0.880
GAA2.512.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 11% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-08WPG 3 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-29WPG 1 - 3 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-06EDM 6 - 2 WPGEDMEDM
2025-04-13WPG 1 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-03-20EDM 3 - 4 WPGWPGEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
204:43WPGGoal
211:46WPGGoal
213:29EDMGoal
306:10EDMGoal
309:39EDMGoal
310:39WPGGoal
401:22EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1