Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CHI: 52.3%

CGY: 47.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.09

CGY: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CHI at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	20	2	1.80
1	CGY	9	0	0.18
2	CHI	6	0	0.20
2	CGY	22	1	1.51
3	CHI	10	2	0.69
3	CGY	27	0	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9