Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SJS: 36.6%

DAL: 63.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.55

DAL: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SJS	13	0.80
1	DAL	20	1.39
2	SJS	12	0.81
2	DAL	24	1.21
3	SJS	13	0.59
3	DAL	16	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.5 - 3.6