New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 53.1%

NYI: 46.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.30

NYI: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs NYI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.51
1	NYI	9	0	0.28
2	FLA	6	0	0.29
2	NYI	18	0	1.08
3	FLA	22	1	1.57
3	NYI	7	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3