Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 56.4%
PHI: 43.6%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.87
PHI: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • MTL at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MTL 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-11-04 | MTL 4 - 5 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-04-05 | MTL 3 - 2 PHI | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-27 | PHI 6 - 4 MTL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-10-27 | PHI 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:56 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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