Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 61.1%
CHI: 38.9%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.37
CHI: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.760 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | OTT 6 - 4 CHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-28 | CHI 7 - 3 OTT | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-04-15 | OTT 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | OTT |
| 2025-03-05 | CHI 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | CHI |
| 2024-03-28 | OTT 2 - 0 CHI | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:36 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 06:08 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6