Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

OTT: 68.5%

CHI: 31.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.09

CHI: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	OTT 6 - 4 CHI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-28	CHI 7 - 3 OTT	CHI	CHI
2025-04-15	OTT 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	OTT
2025-03-05	CHI 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-28	OTT 2 - 0 CHI	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	19	0	0.79
1	CHI	11	0	0.34
2	OTT	13	0	0.77
2	CHI	10	0	0.58
3	OTT	14	2	2.02
3	CHI	9	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7