Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

TOR: 66.9%

WSH: 33.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.58

WSH: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	WSH 4 - 0 TOR	WSH	WSH
2025-11-28	WSH 4 - 2 TOR	WSH	WSH
2024-12-28	TOR 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	TOR
2024-12-06	TOR 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-11-13	WSH 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:09	TOR	Goal
2	00:18	TOR	Goal
2	05:27	TOR	Goal
2	11:38	TOR	Goal
3	01:06	TOR	Goal
3	10:11	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6