Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 61.0%
CGY: 39.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.17
CGY: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | STL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | STL 3 - 2 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
| 2025-01-16 | STL 4 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-14 | STL 2 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2024-12-05 | CGY 3 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:02 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:48 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:37 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 03:27 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:54 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:50 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:04 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9