Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.8%
VGK: 44.2%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.15
VGK: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • WPG at home vs VGK: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | WPG 4 - 1 VGK | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2025-04-03 | VGK 0 - 4 WPG | WPG | VGK |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2024-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 WPG | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:56 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:31 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 14:31 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:26 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.