New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 61.1%

NYR: 38.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.46

NYR: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	11	0	0.53
1	NYR	11	0	0.63
2	COL	18	1	1.24
2	NYR	12	0	0.48
3	COL	24	1	2.13
3	NYR	17	2	1.33
4	COL	5	0	0.39
4	NYR	2	0	0.04
5	COL	2	0	0.14
5	NYR	3	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9