Nashville Predators at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 8 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 45.6%
NSH: 54.4%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.78
NSH: 4.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs NSH: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-28 | ARI 8 - 4 NSH | ARI | NSH |
| 2024-02-10 | NSH 5 - 4 ARI | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-01-20 | ARI 3 - 2 NSH | ARI | ARI |
| 2023-11-11 | NSH 5 - 7 ARI | ARI | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 17 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 1 | NSH | 22 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 2 | ARI | 20 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 2 | NSH | 12 | 1 | 1.41 |
| 3 | ARI | 18 | 4 | 2.82 |
| 3 | NSH | 20 | 0 | 1.04 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 8 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.8 - 4.1
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