Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-03-30 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 56.6%
VGK: 43.4%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.24
VGK: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 26-13-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.57 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MIN | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.865 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VGK 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3 - 2 VGK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-05-01 | MIN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | MIN |
| 2025-04-29 | VGK 3 - 2 MIN | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:44 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:43 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 03:30 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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