Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

MIN: 48.6%

VGK: 51.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.07

VGK: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.57
1	VGK	19	0	0.82
2	MIN	19	0	1.18
2	VGK	12	2	1.08
3	MIN	13	0	0.62
3	VGK	11	0	0.54
4	MIN	5	1	0.44
4	VGK	3	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2