Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.4%

PIT: 50.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.96

PIT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	2	1.67
1	PIT	18	0	1.01
2	CBJ	17	1	1.22
2	PIT	9	0	0.41
3	CBJ	16	0	0.85
3	PIT	19	0	1.00
4	CBJ	3	0	0.44
4	PIT	1	0	0.03
5	CBJ	5	2	1.99
5	PIT	5	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1