Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-03-30 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 60.7%
CHI: 39.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.17
CHI: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | PHI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs CHI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-23 | CHI 7 - 4 PHI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-11-23 | PHI 3 - 2 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-30 | PHI 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | PHI |
| 2024-02-21 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 17:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:28 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:09 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:33 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7