Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 54.6%

BOS: 45.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.43

BOS: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	8	0	0.47
1	BOS	11	0	0.44
2	WSH	9	0	0.72
2	BOS	14	2	1.35
3	WSH	7	1	0.40
3	BOS	14	0	0.57
4	WSH	6	0	0.48
4	BOS	3	0	0.26
5	WSH	5	2	2.13
5	BOS	5	3	2.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8