San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-03-30 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 0 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 63.6%
SJS: 36.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.14
SJS: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 19-11-5 | 0.911 SV% | 2.52 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 19-17-3 | 0.887 SV% | 3.52 GAA
| Stat | STL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SJS | ||
| 2026-03-26 | STL 2 - 1 SJS | STL | STL |
| 2026-03-06 | SJS 2 - 3 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:05 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 0 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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