San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 0 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 66.4%

SJS: 33.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.26

SJS: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	20	2	1.36
1	SJS	4	0	0.21
2	STL	11	0	0.40
2	SJS	19	1	1.50
3	STL	28	0	1.50
3	SJS	6	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 0 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9