New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-04-01 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 61.3%

NYI: 38.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.56

NYI: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

PHI

Dan Vladar - 24-13-7 | 0.904 SV% | 2.50 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 28-20-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-30	PHI 0 - 3 NYI	NYI	PHI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:57	PHI	Goal
1	12:03	PHI	Goal
1	12:21	NYI	Goal
2	00:43	PHI	Goal
2	17:54	NYI	Goal
3	19:50	PHI	Goal
4	01:24	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2