New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-04-01 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 57.0%

NYI: 43.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.15

NYI: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	0	0.35
1	NYI	7	0	0.35
2	PHI	8	0	0.37
2	NYI	23	0	1.18
3	PHI	26	1	1.69
3	NYI	7	1	1.02
4	PHI	0	0	0.00
4	NYI	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9