Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-04-01 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 58.1%
FLA: 41.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.20
FLA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-14-6 | 0.904 SV% | 3.22 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 26-21-1 | 0.879 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | TOR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.902 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.946 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • TOR at home vs FLA: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | FLA 5 - 1 TOR | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | TOR |
| 2025-05-16 | FLA 0 - 2 TOR | TOR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:59 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:32 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:47 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:26 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:32 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:05 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:12 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:10 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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