Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

MTL: 69.7%

FLA: 30.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.12

FLA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MTL at home vs FLA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	17	1	1.10
1	FLA	16	0	0.98
2	MTL	19	1	1.34
2	FLA	10	0	0.71
3	MTL	17	2	1.56
3	FLA	31	2	2.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1