Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-04-02 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 62.2%
PIT: 37.8%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.47
PIT: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 22-18-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.12 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 22-15-9 | 0.889 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.857 | 0.876 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | PIT 4 - 1 NJD | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-01-08 | PIT 4 - 1 NJD | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-08 | NJD 2 - 1 PIT | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-11 | NJD 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | NJD |
| 2025-03-15 | PIT 7 - 3 NJD | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:43 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:47 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:48 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:55 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:38 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:07 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1
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