Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-04-02 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 54.7%
CHI: 45.3%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.00
CHI: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 28-20-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 18-21-11 | 0.906 SV% | 2.74 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.898 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | CHI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:49 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:33 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:25 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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