Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 43.1%

OTT: 56.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.10

OTT: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.49
1	OTT	15	0	0.60
2	MIN	10	0	0.49
2	OTT	15	0	0.82
3	MIN	10	0	0.63
3	OTT	15	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1