Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-04-02 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.9%
OTT: 44.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.89
OTT: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 26-13-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.57 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 23-11-8 | 0.886 SV% | 2.85 GAA
| Stat | MIN | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.865 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-01 | OTT 6 - 0 MIN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN 1 - 3 OTT | OTT | MIN |
| 2024-04-02 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-11-18 | OTT 2 - 1 MIN | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:32 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 00:49 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 07:43 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:04 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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