Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-04-03 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 0 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 59.1%
EDM: 40.9%
Expected Goals
DAL: 4.08
EDM: 2.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 31-12-6 | 0.900 SV% | 2.61 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-2 | 0.885 SV% | 3.26 GAA
| Stat | DAL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.849 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.820 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | DAL 7 - 2 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | DAL |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:08 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:27 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:42 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:04 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 0 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 4.1 - 2.4
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