Vancouver Canucks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-04-03 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 61.2%
VAN: 38.8%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.99
VAN: 3.49
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs VAN: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | VAN 3 - 4 ARI | ARI | VAN |
| 2024-04-03 | ARI 1 - 2 VAN | VAN | ARI |
| 2024-01-18 | VAN 2 - 1 ARI | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 4 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 1 | VAN | 13 | 1 | 0.66 |
| 2 | ARI | 10 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 2 | VAN | 27 | 0 | 1.37 |
| 3 | ARI | 23 | 3 | 1.60 |
| 3 | VAN | 18 | 2 | 1.43 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
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