Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-04-04 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 64.1%
BOS: 35.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.06
BOS: 2.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CAR | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.934 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | BOS |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-06 | CAR 3 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-31 | CAR 8 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:42 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:46 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.2