Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-04-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 70.1%

BOS: 29.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.35

BOS: 2.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	0.71
1	BOS	17	1	1.29
2	CAR	21	2	1.61
2	BOS	7	0	0.53
3	CAR	15	1	1.53
3	BOS	12	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.3