New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-04-04 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 59.9%
NYI: 40.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.21
NYI: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | — |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | CBJ 4 - 2 NYI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-02 | NYI 3 - 2 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-17 | CBJ 6 - 1 NYI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | NYI |
| 2025-01-20 | NYI 3 - 1 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:53 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:45 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 13:48 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 17:22 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:22 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7