🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

MTL vs TBL - 2024-04-04

2024-04-04 • Centre Bell
MTL 4 - 7 TBL
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
MTL: 59.3%
TBL: 40.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.30
TBL: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
102:37MTLGoal
109:45MTLGoal
116:26TBLGoal
204:42MTLGoal
207:58TBLGoal
209:12TBLGoal
213:18TBLGoal
217:45TBLGoal
308:40TBLGoal
311:51TBLGoal
319:06TBLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
MTL 4 - 7 TBL
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3