Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-04-04 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 39.9%

COL: 60.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.62

COL: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.37
1	COL	26	2	1.80
2	MIN	27	1	2.05
2	COL	11	0	0.85
3	MIN	23	0	1.11
3	COL	14	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.7