Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-04-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.0%

CGY: 50.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.89

CGY: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs CGY: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-15	CGY 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-10-24	WPG 5 - 3 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-10-20	CGY 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-01-26	WPG 5 - 2 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-01-18	WPG 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	21	0	1.11
1	CGY	11	0	0.36
2	WPG	20	0	1.04
2	CGY	20	0	0.80
3	WPG	14	1	1.79
3	CGY	13	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4