Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-04-04 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.5%
LAK: 46.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.59
LAK: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-17-3 | 0.886 SV% | 3.52 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 18-14-14 | 0.896 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | SJS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.890 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | SJS |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:55 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 11:13 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9
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