New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-04-05 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 53.3%
NYR: 46.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.87
NYR: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 28-19-3 | 0.905 SV% | 2.61 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 24-17-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | DET | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.883 | 0.913 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1 - 2 DET | DET | NYR |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | DET |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4 - 1 DET | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:58 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:11 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 19:31 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:24 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:19 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:14 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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