New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-04-05 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 46.8%

NYR: 53.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.96

NYR: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	0.71
1	NYR	20	0	1.16
2	DET	13	2	1.49
2	NYR	18	2	1.53
3	DET	13	1	0.86
3	NYR	16	3	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6