Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-05 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

EDM: 61.6%

COL: 38.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.18

COL: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	22	0	1.60
1	COL	10	0	0.43
2	EDM	20	0	1.54
2	COL	15	0	0.75
3	EDM	19	1	1.33
3	COL	10	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9