Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-04-05 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 55.3%
COL: 44.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.05
COL: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | EDM | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-11-30 | COL 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-04-18 | COL 5 - 1 EDM | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:52 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 11:58 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 15:59 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:55 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 19:58 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 11:59 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1